Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000725 0.000828 0.000938 0.001062 0.001199 0.001345 0.001512
2025-04-06 0.000557 0.000698 0.000859 0.001053 0.001280 0.001536 0.001843
2025-04-13 0.000460 0.000615 0.000800 0.001033 0.001316 0.001645 0.002055
2025-04-20 0.000406 0.000575 0.000783 0.001056 0.001398 0.001807 0.002329
2025-04-27 0.000362 0.000538 0.000765 0.001071 0.001465 0.001948 0.002576
2025-05-04 0.000315 0.000493 0.000730 0.001059 0.001494 0.002039 0.002764
2025-05-11 0.000273 0.000449 0.000692 0.001039 0.001509 0.002111 0.002924
2025-05-18 0.000249 0.000427 0.000681 0.001053 0.001567 0.002236 0.003155
2025-05-25 0.000224 0.000403 0.000664 0.001055 0.001608 0.002339 0.003358
2025-06-01 0.000193 0.000365 0.000624 0.001023 0.001599 0.002374 0.003470
2025-06-08 0.000167 0.000332 0.000588 0.000993 0.001590 0.002407 0.003579
2025-06-15 0.000151 0.000313 0.000572 0.000991 0.001619 0.002491 0.003757
2025-06-22 0.000136 0.000295 0.000557 0.000990 0.001650 0.002582 0.003948
2025-06-29 0.000121 0.000275 0.000537 0.000980 0.001668 0.002652 0.004113
2025-07-06 0.000106 0.000253 0.000513 0.000961 0.001671 0.002700 0.004246
2025-07-13 0.000100 0.000247 0.000514 0.000983 0.001735 0.002838 0.004509
2025-07-20 0.000092 0.000239 0.000511 0.000997 0.001788 0.002959 0.004750
2025-07-27 0.000082 0.000224 0.000493 0.000986 0.001800 0.003020 0.004905
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000207 0.000472 0.000967 0.001799 0.003062 0.005032
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000201 0.000469 0.000980 0.001848 0.003180 0.005273
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000192 0.000461 0.000982 0.001881 0.003273 0.005476
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000175 0.000435 0.000952 0.001858 0.003280 0.005553
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000159 0.000412 0.000924 0.001837 0.003288 0.005630